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An Unbiased Fantasy Analysis of David Price

08.07.2009 · Posted in Recreation Articles

David Price was one of the most hyped up young pitchers in baseball during 2009 fantasy baseball drafts. He wowed many during the late 2008 regular season and the playoffs, showing incredible power and the ability to be a leader in the strikeout category.nnAfter getting drafted in nearly every league, the Rays disappointed many hopeful fantasy owners by keeping Price in the minors for nearly two months. When Price was finally called up, owners who had stashed him away were ecstatic. Unfortunately, they probably aren’t feeling as good about that decision right now.nnAfter 12 starts, Price has been disappointing and inconsistent, posting a 4-4 record with a 5.10 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. Walks have been his downfall, as he’s walked 35 batters in only 60 innings. So now the big question is, “do I hang onto him, or cut him loose.” Unfortunately, the answer isn’t quite that simple.nnAnyone in a keeper league should hold onto Price at this point. It’s late in the season and Price has shown flashes of the upside that everyone believes he has. In smaller leagues, however (or non-keeper leagues), Price probably belongs in the free agent pool, as there are a handful of more reliable options at this point in the season.nnOthers may be keen to use Price as a spot starter, because Price’s home and away stats are immensely different from one another. Price’s 4-1 record and 2.67 ERA at home are far better than his 0-3 record and 8.20 ERA on the road. Whether this trend continues or not is uncertain, but the difference is remarkable.nnI will cut Price a bit of slack, though, since his road matchups have been a bit tougher than his home ones. On the road, Price has been rocked against the Rockies, Rangers, White Sox, and Blue Jays compared to only two really difficult matchups at home against the Phillies and Angels.nnAnother interesting split is his day/night stats. In 5 starts during the day, he’s 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. But in 7 starts at night, he’s 1-4 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.83 WHIP.nnIn case you haven’t figured it out by now, Price should really only be used as a spot starter for right now. If he’s pitching at home or he’s pitching during the day, I’d start him. If he’s not, then let him sit on your bench. You don’t need one bad start to destroy your ERA and WHIP for the entire week.nnThe only drawback to starting Price (despite the time of day or the stadium) is his high WHIP. Price has struggled with control issues during the 2009 season and has issued many walks through the course of the season. On the flip side, he’s averaging nearly a strikeout per inning, something that very few starting pitchers in baseball do.nnWhile this pitcher has been a letdown in many senses, fantasy GMs are still clinging to this prospect, hoping to see a turn for the better.

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